WEBVTT Kind: captions Language: en-US 00:00:01.360 --> 00:00:04.560 Hello. Thank you for the opportunity to speak here today. 00:00:04.560 --> 00:00:07.840 Looking forward to telling you about our project looking at 00:00:07.840 --> 00:00:11.120 aseismic deformation along the central San Andreas and Calaveras 00:00:11.120 --> 00:00:15.520 Faults from repeat differencing of airborne Lidar topography. 00:00:15.520 --> 00:00:18.880 This is a project I’ve been working on with my collaborators, 00:00:18.880 --> 00:00:22.080 Steve DeLong and Ramon Arrowsmith. 00:00:22.080 --> 00:00:25.440 By way of introduction, measuring creep along the San Andreas Fault 00:00:25.440 --> 00:00:28.960 system indicates the moment accumulation that is available 00:00:28.960 --> 00:00:33.576 for destructive earthquakes versus as less-damaging creep. 00:00:33.600 --> 00:00:38.080 In this project, we’ve constrained the aseismic fault creep rate along 00:00:38.080 --> 00:00:43.360 the central San Andreas and Calaveras Faults by differencing repeat airborne 00:00:43.360 --> 00:00:47.360 Lidar topography data sets. We constrain spatially dense 00:00:47.360 --> 00:00:52.080 creep rates every 400 meters and examine approaches for decreasing 00:00:52.080 --> 00:00:56.960 noise in the resulting creep rates. We show that portions of the central 00:00:56.960 --> 00:01:01.360 San Andreas Fault creep at over rates of 30 millimeters per year. 00:01:01.360 --> 00:01:04.080 And this indicates limited strain accumulation. 00:01:04.080 --> 00:01:06.000 Finally, we show, at Mustang Ridge, 00:01:06.000 --> 00:01:11.600 the active fault trace is offset from the geomorphically mapped fault. 00:01:11.600 --> 00:01:17.600 This shows a map of central California. Here is the San Andreas Fault 00:01:17.600 --> 00:01:23.040 and the Calaveras Fault. The color of both faults represent 00:01:23.040 --> 00:01:27.360 the creep rate determined from Lidar topographic differencing. 00:01:27.360 --> 00:01:29.520 [sounds of birds in background] Slip rate has been measured 00:01:29.520 --> 00:01:33.360 with a variety of instrumentation, however this instrumentation 00:01:33.360 --> 00:01:40.240 typically lacks sensitivity to the dense 3D deformation field. 00:01:40.240 --> 00:01:44.000 Lidar topographic differencing can fill this gap, as it resolves 00:01:44.000 --> 00:01:48.376 deformation along and adjacent to active faults. 00:01:48.400 --> 00:01:51.840 One application that we’re particularly excited about is performing 00:01:51.840 --> 00:01:57.336 a slip inversion to solve for creep along strike and with depth. 00:01:57.360 --> 00:01:59.360 To perform the 3D topographic differencing, 00:01:59.360 --> 00:02:03.576 we use the iterative closest point, or ICP, algorithm. 00:02:03.600 --> 00:02:08.320 This approach has been applied to many earthquakes over the past decade. 00:02:08.320 --> 00:02:13.520 Originally, it gained a lot of attention because it could resolve deformation 00:02:13.520 --> 00:02:17.200 along an adjacent active fault, where other geodetic data sets 00:02:17.200 --> 00:02:19.816 typically lack spatial resolution. 00:02:19.840 --> 00:02:25.336 The first step is to take a windowed subset of the Lidar topography. 00:02:25.360 --> 00:02:27.840 This window – the length of the window is the resolution, 00:02:27.840 --> 00:02:32.136 which is typically on the order of 30 to 50 meters. 00:02:32.160 --> 00:02:37.120 The next step is to apply a 3D rigid body deformation, 00:02:37.120 --> 00:02:43.120 which is used to align the point clouds. And the rotation and displacement 00:02:43.120 --> 00:02:50.000 that’s required to align these data sets is soon to then be the 3D deformation 00:02:50.000 --> 00:02:55.336 that occurred either during the earthquake or from fault creep. 00:02:55.360 --> 00:03:00.480 And the final step is to calculate uncertainty on the 3D displacement. 00:03:00.480 --> 00:03:03.040 For the differencing, we used four data sets. 00:03:03.040 --> 00:03:10.320 This includes the 2005 B4, 2007 EarthScope, 2018 Salinas, 00:03:10.320 --> 00:03:15.280 and Parkfield. Here are abbreviated acknowledgements for these data sets. 00:03:15.280 --> 00:03:21.336 I invite you to look at our publication for the full citations. 00:03:21.360 --> 00:03:25.920 I would like to acknowledge the foresight and coordination 00:03:25.920 --> 00:03:31.120 that it took to collect, particularly, the B4 and EarthScope data sets 00:03:31.120 --> 00:03:34.320 over a decade ago. And, critical to performing this 00:03:34.320 --> 00:03:40.160 differencing was collecting both the 2018 Parkfield 00:03:40.160 --> 00:03:45.840 and the 2018 Salinas data set. One of the challenges of performing 00:03:45.840 --> 00:03:52.000 differencing is that a decade or so of creep produce significantly less slip 00:03:52.000 --> 00:03:56.720 than the magnitude 7 or so earthquakes that this method has been applied to. 00:03:56.720 --> 00:04:00.560 So we looked at several approaches for decreasing noise and ultimately 00:04:00.560 --> 00:04:03.816 being able to better resolve slip along the fault. 00:04:03.840 --> 00:04:08.560 A primary source of noise was changes in vegetation between 00:04:08.560 --> 00:04:11.840 the two acquisitions. To mitigate the source of noise, 00:04:11.840 --> 00:04:16.080 we used ground points only. There were a number of landslides 00:04:16.080 --> 00:04:20.240 along the central San Andreas Fault. For example, here you can see, 00:04:20.240 --> 00:04:24.320 in the topographic hill shade, landslide in this area. 00:04:24.320 --> 00:04:28.720 And here is the displacement field, in this case, in the northeast, 00:04:28.720 --> 00:04:35.280 or fault-perpendicular, direction. We see a very clear landslide signal 00:04:35.280 --> 00:04:42.160 here. Ultimately, masked areas that had these very pronounced landslides. 00:04:42.160 --> 00:04:47.920 And finally, flight line errors caused dominant source of noise in the 00:04:47.920 --> 00:04:53.200 northeast and vertical directions. And so we focused our interpretation 00:04:53.200 --> 00:04:58.136 on the northwest, or fault-parallel, displacement signals. 00:04:58.160 --> 00:05:00.880 So here is a resulting displacement field. 00:05:00.880 --> 00:05:04.936 This is showing the northwest, or fault-parallel, displacement. 00:05:04.960 --> 00:05:09.280 And we see here, along the southwest side of the fault, that the area is 00:05:09.280 --> 00:05:14.240 moving positive, or to the northwest. On the opposite side of the fault, 00:05:14.240 --> 00:05:17.840 you see the opposite sense of motion with a clear, 00:05:17.840 --> 00:05:22.800 very sharp boundary along the fault. The next thing we’re interesting in 00:05:22.800 --> 00:05:27.496 was calculating the fault creep from the displacement field. 00:05:27.520 --> 00:05:32.640 And that is shown here in this cartoon, where we essentially do a displacement 00:05:32.640 --> 00:05:38.696 discontinuity approach. So we take the – calculate the average 00:05:38.720 --> 00:05:44.080 displacement on each side of the fault, weighted by the error in the 00:05:44.080 --> 00:05:48.056 displacement in each of the displacement measurements. 00:05:48.080 --> 00:05:53.496 And then, to calculate the fault creep, we subtract, or find the difference, 00:05:53.520 --> 00:05:58.240 in creep across the fault. The uncertainty in the creep rate 00:05:58.240 --> 00:06:04.000 is the second norm of the weighted uncertainty across 00:06:04.000 --> 00:06:10.856 each side of the fault. And then, to calculate the creep rate, 00:06:10.880 --> 00:06:14.800 we divide the – or, we take the fault creep and we divide that 00:06:14.800 --> 00:06:20.080 by the time between the Lidar acquisitions. 00:06:20.080 --> 00:06:25.200 So we apply this method to the entire fault to calculate the creep rate, 00:06:25.200 --> 00:06:28.880 and the results are shown here. This bottom plot shows distance 00:06:28.880 --> 00:06:33.200 northeast versus distance from Parkfield. And the color that you’re 00:06:33.200 --> 00:06:39.176 seeing is the northwest, or on average, right-lateral displacements. 00:06:39.200 --> 00:06:45.096 In the top plot, we are showing creep rate in millimeters per year. 00:06:45.120 --> 00:06:49.440 And I’d like you to pay attention to the blue, which is the right-lateral 00:06:49.440 --> 00:06:53.440 San Andreas Fault creep rate, as well as the green, which is the 00:06:53.440 --> 00:06:58.320 right-lateral Calaveras Fault creep rate. I will discuss some of the key features 00:06:58.320 --> 00:07:02.696 that we can observe from this pattern of fault creep. 00:07:02.720 --> 00:07:06.000 First order, the creep rate is asymmetric. 00:07:06.000 --> 00:07:12.000 We see higher creep rates here along the southeastern side of the creeping 00:07:12.000 --> 00:07:16.000 portion of the San Andreas Fault. The highest creep rate of about 00:07:16.000 --> 00:07:22.616 40 millimeters per year occurs near Slack Canyon in this area of the fault. 00:07:22.640 --> 00:07:28.720 As we go towards Parkfield, there’s a very sharp decrease in creep rate – 00:07:28.720 --> 00:07:35.040 a rate of about 8 millimeters – so, a rate of about, yeah, 8 millimeters per year. 00:07:35.040 --> 00:07:40.640 At Dry Lake Valley, which is here, we see a rate of about 20 millimeters 00:07:40.640 --> 00:07:45.816 per year. And this is a local minimum in the creep rate. 00:07:45.840 --> 00:07:49.680 And here, where the San Andreas and Calaveras Faults overlap, 00:07:49.680 --> 00:07:56.296 we see that there is a sharp decrease in creep rate along the San Andreas Fault, 00:07:56.320 --> 00:08:00.800 likely relating to the partitioning of the plate boundary deformation 00:08:00.800 --> 00:08:03.656 along those two active faults. 00:08:03.680 --> 00:08:07.040 We then asked the question of whether the topographic differencing rates 00:08:07.040 --> 00:08:12.320 are similar to the geodetic rates. The conclusion is yes, when the 00:08:12.320 --> 00:08:16.216 difference in aperture of the instrumentation is accounted for. 00:08:16.240 --> 00:08:20.320 This table shows the other geodetic rates that we compared to the 00:08:20.320 --> 00:08:24.773 topographic differencing from a creepmeter with a 30-meter aperture 00:08:24.805 --> 00:08:30.456 to Geodolites with apertures typically greater than 15 kilometers. 00:08:30.480 --> 00:08:34.400 This plot shows creep rate versus distance from Parkfield. 00:08:34.400 --> 00:08:38.400 And, for the most part, we see that the topographic differencing, 00:08:38.400 --> 00:08:42.536 shown in black, are consistent with the other measurements. 00:08:42.560 --> 00:08:47.600 Largest difference is the Geodolite instrumentation, but likely those 00:08:47.600 --> 00:08:52.376 data sets are larger because of their larger aperture, which means 00:08:52.400 --> 00:08:58.376 these instruments are measuring elastic strain accumulation. 00:08:58.400 --> 00:09:01.680 This plot shows topographic differencing in creep rate versus 00:09:01.680 --> 00:09:07.416 creep rate from other data sets. This is the 1-to-1 line. 00:09:07.440 --> 00:09:10.400 There is a aperture dependence on the agreement between the 00:09:10.400 --> 00:09:14.800 creep rate from the different data sets. For example, the topographic 00:09:14.800 --> 00:09:19.496 differencing rates are higher than all of the creepmeter rates. 00:09:19.520 --> 00:09:23.920 And, in contrast, the topographic differencing rates are lower than 00:09:23.920 --> 00:09:28.640 many of the Geodolite [audio cuts out]. 00:09:28.640 --> 00:09:32.320 We then looked at Mustang Ridge to learn what topographic differencing 00:09:32.320 --> 00:09:35.680 indicates in regions of complex deformation. 00:09:35.680 --> 00:09:39.120 This region was first mapped by Rymer et al., who interpreted 00:09:39.120 --> 00:09:43.680 distributed faulting as being responsible for creep rates that vary with aperture. 00:09:43.680 --> 00:09:48.160 It was then mapped by DeLong et al., who interpreted that this distributed 00:09:48.160 --> 00:09:52.960 faulting here produces an en échelon pattern of faults. 00:09:52.960 --> 00:09:57.360 Topographic differencing is consistent and adds to these interpretations. 00:09:57.360 --> 00:10:01.840 First, we see that, although there is about 10 kilometers of along-strike 00:10:01.840 --> 00:10:07.896 en échelon faults in the geomorphology, the active deformation 00:10:07.920 --> 00:10:13.440 spans about 4 kilometers along strike. These black and red lines indicate 00:10:13.440 --> 00:10:18.240 the active portion of the fault mapped by DeLong et al. as well as 00:10:18.240 --> 00:10:23.280 the USGS and CGS. However, topographic differencing 00:10:23.280 --> 00:10:28.640 shows that the active fault trace is not here, but instead along this 00:10:28.640 --> 00:10:34.056 portion of the fault, is located about half a kilometer to the northeast. 00:10:34.080 --> 00:10:37.760 So this shows that topographic differencing is very important 00:10:37.760 --> 00:10:43.256 at indicating which faults in the geomorphology are active. 00:10:43.280 --> 00:10:44.960 Using the topographic differencing results, 00:10:44.960 --> 00:10:47.976 we can look at off-fault deformation. 00:10:48.000 --> 00:10:52.320 At Dry Lake Valley, the deformation is highly localized to the fault. 00:10:52.320 --> 00:10:57.360 Consistent with this current work, Scott et al., in a JGR paper 00:10:57.360 --> 00:11:02.240 from last year, also showed that deformation is highly localized 00:11:02.240 --> 00:11:04.696 to the fault at Dry Lake Valley. 00:11:04.720 --> 00:11:08.720 And this was shown by comparing surface fractures to topographic 00:11:08.720 --> 00:11:14.480 differencing rates. And the localization of deformation was attributed to 00:11:14.480 --> 00:11:19.656 the fault geometry, which is very well-aligned for right-lateral slip. 00:11:19.680 --> 00:11:22.800 At Mustang Ridge, as we discussed on the last slide, 00:11:22.800 --> 00:11:28.800 deformation is highly distributed. Along the central creeping San Andreas 00:11:28.800 --> 00:11:33.760 Fault, we conclude that 20 to 50% of the deformation is accommodated 00:11:33.760 --> 00:11:37.920 beyond a 30-meter aperture. This amount of high off-fault 00:11:37.920 --> 00:11:44.296 deformation is highly unexpected for a mature and non-creeping fault. 00:11:44.320 --> 00:11:49.016 We do see this clear dependence on fault geometry. 00:11:49.040 --> 00:11:53.416 In addition, it’s possible that the high off-fault deformation 00:11:53.440 --> 00:11:56.960 reflects a difference in mechanics dynamics 00:11:56.960 --> 00:12:01.176 between a creeping and seismogenic fault. 00:12:01.200 --> 00:12:04.320 I will now discuss applications and future work of these 00:12:04.320 --> 00:12:08.391 topographic differencing results. We are particularly interested in 00:12:08.391 --> 00:12:12.560 looking at strain accumulation. For example, by conducting a joint 00:12:12.560 --> 00:12:17.360 slip inversion to quantify fault slip and depth-dependent changes in slip, 00:12:17.360 --> 00:12:20.320 and topographic differencing would add a very important 00:12:20.320 --> 00:12:23.416 intermediate-scale aperture. 00:12:23.440 --> 00:12:27.600 We’re also interested in mapping active fault traces and comparing 00:12:27.600 --> 00:12:33.096 the location of the actively creeping fault to Quaternary fault traces. 00:12:33.120 --> 00:12:37.280 These displacements could also be used to better understand 00:12:37.280 --> 00:12:42.160 fault displacement hazard. And finally, the fourth is application is 00:12:42.160 --> 00:12:47.256 looking at the mechanical properties of the crust, sediment cover, and soil. 00:12:47.280 --> 00:12:52.945 For example, does shallow rheology control the distribution of deformation? 00:12:54.480 --> 00:12:58.880 So, in conclusion today, shown that we have constrained 00:12:58.880 --> 00:13:02.880 creep rates at a dense spatial resolution along the central San Andreas 00:13:02.880 --> 00:13:07.576 and Calaveras Faults from Lidar topographic differencing. 00:13:07.600 --> 00:13:12.776 The topographic differencing rates are consistent with other geodetic data sets, 00:13:12.800 --> 00:13:18.616 particularly given the different apertures of the instruments. 00:13:18.640 --> 00:13:23.976 Discontinuities in the displacement fields indicate the active fault trace. 00:13:24.000 --> 00:13:27.440 We see that, at Mustang Ridge, the active fault trace is not always 00:13:27.440 --> 00:13:34.936 consistent with the location of the fault mapped by the USGS and the CGS. 00:13:34.960 --> 00:13:39.200 And finally, 20 to 50% of the deformation occurs 00:13:39.200 --> 00:13:44.560 off the principal fault. So thank you for hearing this presentation today. 00:13:44.560 --> 00:13:51.656 I’d like to acknowledge funding from the NSF, ASU, NEHRP, and NASA. 00:13:51.680 --> 00:13:57.016 And we are very excited to continue this work into 2021 00:13:57.040 --> 00:14:00.880 with funding from NEHRP. Thank you.